AS Roma vs Real MadridUEFA Champions League
AS RomaET
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Real MadridPacy win probability
52.8% AS Roma23.5% Draw23.7% Real Madrid
Last updated
AS Roma vs Real Madrid preview
AS Roma host Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League on October 14, 2026 at 15:00 ET, at Olimpico, Roma, Italy.
Pacy's model makes AS Roma favourites at 52.8%, with the draw at 23.5%. Its most likely score is AS Roma 2-1 Real Madrid.
In the standings, AS Roma are 17th in the UEFA Champions League at 0-0-1 and Real Madrid are 14th in the UEFA Champions League at 1-0.
Recent form (latest first): AS Roma D-D-W-D-W; Real Madrid W-L-W-W-W.
AS Roma have won 2 of their last 5; Real Madrid have won 4 of their last 5.
They last met on 2025-10-08: AS Roma 2-6 Real Madrid.
Pacy's record holds 6 earlier meetings: AS Roma won 0, Real Madrid won 5 and 1 was a draw.
Where to watch: Paramount+.
Match statistics
All statistics (3 more)
Where to watch
- Paramount+
Recent form
AS Roma
DDWDW
Real Madrid
WLWWW
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Liverpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | Arsenal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 | AEK Athens | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 | AS Roma | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Fenerbahce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
AS Roma 1 win, Real Madrid 5 wins
| Date | Result | Hosted by |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-08 | AS Roma 2–6 Real Madrid | Real Madrid |
| 2019-08-11 | AS Roma 2–2 Real Madrid | AS Roma |
| 2018-11-27 | AS Roma 0–2 Real Madrid | AS Roma |
| 2018-09-19 | AS Roma 0–3 Real Madrid | Real Madrid |
| 2018-08-08 | AS Roma 1–2 Real Madrid | Real Madrid |
| 2016-03-08 | AS Roma 0–2 Real Madrid | Real Madrid |
Venue and officials
- Venue
- Olimpico, Roma, Italy
Pacy probability
- Away23.7%
- Draw23.5%
- Home52.8%
Pacy estimates this from the match information available and how both sides have performed. It is an estimate, not a prediction of what will happen.