Real Madrid vs VillarrealSpanish LALIGA
Real Madrid10
Full time
VillarrealPacy pre-match win probability
52.6% Real Madrid25.9% Draw21.5% Villarreal
Last updated
Match report
Real Madrid beat Villarreal 1–0 in the Spanish LALIGA at Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid, Spain on October 10, 2026. The goals came from Yan Diomande (62'). Real Madrid went ahead through Yan Diomande in the 62nd minute. Real Madrid kept a clean sheet. Real Madrid had 46.3% of the ball and 11 shots (4 on target), against 15 (4 on target) for Villarreal. In the Spanish LALIGA table, Real Madrid sit 3rd and Villarreal 10th. Pacy's record holds 10 earlier meetings: Real Madrid won 5, Villarreal won 2 and 3 were draws. Before kick-off, Pacy's model made Real Madrid favourites at 52.6%, and they won.
Timeline
- Kickoff
- 10'Yellow Card — Renato Veiga (Villarreal)
- 19'Yellow Card — Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)
- 29'Start Delay — Real Madrid
- 29'Start Delay — Villarreal
- 30'End Delay — Real Madrid
- 30'End Delay — Villarreal
- 45'Halftime
- 45'Substitution — Marc Cucurella (Real Madrid)
- 45'Start 2nd Half
- 52'Substitution — Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid)
- 56'Substitution — Nathan Saliba (Villarreal)
- 56'Substitution — Carlos Romero (Villarreal)
- 62'Goal — Yan Diomande (Real Madrid)
- 63'Start Delay — Real Madrid
- 64'End Delay — Real Madrid
- 67'Substitution — Gerard Moreno (Villarreal)
- 67'Substitution — Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal)
- 72'Start Delay — Real Madrid
- 72'End Delay — Real Madrid
- 72'Red Card — Vinícius Júnior (Real Madrid)
- 77'Substitution — Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid)
- 81'Yellow Card — Ibrahima Konaté (Real Madrid)
- 83'Yellow Card — Antonio Rüdiger (Real Madrid)
- 84'Yellow Card — Pau Navarro (Villarreal)
- 86'Substitution — Denzel Dumfries (Real Madrid)
- 86'Substitution — Nizar El Jmili Ben Hamou (Villarreal)
- 87'Yellow Card — Aurélien Tchouaméni (Real Madrid)
- 90'+4'Yellow Card — Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)
- 90'+8'End Regular Time
Match statistics
All statistics (14 more)
Lineups
Real Madrid
- GThibaut Courtois
- CD-LAntonio Rüdiger
- CD-RIbrahima Konaté
- LBÁlvaro Carreras
- RBTrent Alexander-Arnold
- AMJude Bellingham
- LMAurélien Tchouaméni
- RMFederico Valverde
- FKylian Mbappé
- AM-LYan Diomande
- AM-RArda Güler
Bench (11)
- SUBDenzel Dumfries
- SUBEduardo Camavinga
- SUBVinícius Júnior
- SUBSergio Mestre
- SUBBernardo Silva
- SUBThiago Pitarch
- SUBMarc Cucurella
- SUBAndriy Lunin
- SUBEndrick
- SUBCarlos Espí
- SUBBrahim Díaz
Villarreal
- GPéter Gulácsi
- CD-LRenato Veiga
- CD-RPau Navarro
- LBSergi Cardona
- RBAlex Freeman
- CMJuan Foyth
- LMPape Gueye
- RMSanti Comesaña
- FAyoze Pérez
- LFAlberto Moleiro
- RFIlias Akhomach
Bench (12)
- SUBGerard Moreno
- SUBNizar El Jmili Ben Hamou
- SUBCarlos Macià
- SUBJoselillo
- SUBCarlos Romero
- SUBTani Oluwaseyi
- SUBGeorges Mikautadze
- SUBAlassane Diatta
- SUBLogan Costa
- SUBSantiago Mouriño
- SUBNathan Saliba
- SUBLuiz Júnior
Recent form
Real Madrid
LWWWL
Villarreal
WWLLL
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 16 |
| 5 | Sevilla | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | Alavés | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 11 |
| 7 | Deportivo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
Head-to-head
Real Madrid 5 wins, Villarreal 2 wins, 3 draws
| Date | Result | Hosted by |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Real Madrid 2–0 Villarreal | Villarreal |
| 2025-10-04 | Real Madrid 3–1 Villarreal | Real Madrid |
| 2025-03-15 | Real Madrid 2–1 Villarreal | Villarreal |
| 2024-10-05 | Real Madrid 2–0 Villarreal | Real Madrid |
| 2024-05-19 | Real Madrid 4–4 Villarreal | Villarreal |
| 2023-12-17 | Real Madrid 4–1 Villarreal | Real Madrid |
| 2023-04-08 | Real Madrid 2–3 Villarreal | Real Madrid |
| 2023-01-07 | Real Madrid 1–2 Villarreal | Villarreal |
| 2022-02-12 | Real Madrid 0–0 Villarreal | Villarreal |
| 2021-09-25 | Real Madrid 0–0 Villarreal | Real Madrid |
Venue and officials
- Venue
- Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid, Spain
- Attendance
- 75,242
Pacy probability
- Away21.5%
- Draw25.9%
- Home52.6%
Pacy estimates this from the match information available and how both sides have performed. It is an estimate, not a prediction of what will happen.