Sunday May 12, 2013 CSL game between Toronto Croatia and Kingston FC played at Centennial Stadium in Etobicoke. Kingston player Catalin Lichioiu (16) takes throw-in. — Robin Glover / CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Soccer

Toronto favored to beat Cincinnati

Pacy's model makes Toronto 52 per cent favorites in the MLS fixture, with a 2-1 win predicted.

Pacy Desk · September 10, 2026, 01:22 Asia/Beirut · 1 min read

Toronto FC host FC Cincinnati in MLS on September 9. Pacy's model gives the home side the edge.

Pacy's forecast shows Toronto at 52.1 per cent to win, with Cincinnati at 24.5 per cent and a draw at 23.4 per cent. The predicted scoreline is 2-1 to Toronto.

Expected goals support this forecast. Pacy estimates Toronto will generate 2.13 xG and Cincinnati 1.25 xG.

Pacy's model rates this prediction as medium confidence. Toronto hold a clear edge, but Cincinnati's 24.5 per cent probability and the 23.4 per cent draw chance show the result remains open.