Blackpool and Aston Villa locked level in Pacy's forecast
Pacy's model sees little to separate the sides in an EFL Trophy tie with very low confidence.
Blackpool host Aston Villa in the EFL Trophy on August 25, with kick-off at 6 p.m. The fixture carries very low confidence of just 38.8 per cent.
Pacy's model treats both teams as almost perfect equals. It gives home win odds of 38.8 per cent and away win odds of 38.7 per cent, with a draw at 22.5 per cent. The predicted final score is 1-1, and expected goals are nearly identical: 1.67 for Blackpool, 1.66 for Aston Villa.
Such evenness, combined with low confidence, means the forecast has little predictive power. The probabilities are close enough to chance, and Pacy cannot pull apart these two sides in this competition on this data. Treat the numbers as a true coin-flip with a slight lean toward a goal for each team.