Benfica vs CelticUEFA Europa League
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CelticPacy win probability
66.7% Benfica19.6% Draw13.7% Celtic
Last updated
Benfica vs Celtic preview
Benfica host Celtic in the UEFA Europa League on October 15, 2026 at 15:00 ET, at Estádio da Luz, Lisbon, Portugal.
Pacy's model makes Benfica favourites at 66.7%, with the draw at 19.6%. Its most likely score is Benfica 3-0 Celtic.
In the standings, Benfica are 7th in the UEFA Europa League at 1-0 and Celtic are 28th in the UEFA Europa League at 0-1.
Recent form (latest first): Benfica W-L-W-W-W; Celtic W-L-L-L-W.
Benfica have won 4 of their last 5; Celtic have won 2 of their last 5.
Where to watch: Paramount+.
Match statistics
All statistics (3 more)
Where to watch
- Paramount+
Recent form
Benfica
WLWWW
Celtic
WLLLW
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Union St.-Gilloise | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 6 | Ferencvaros | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 7 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 9 | OFI Crete | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 | AFC Bournemouth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 12 | Torreense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Olympiacos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 | RB Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 | Omonia Nicosia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 16 | Sunderland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 17 | Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Hapoel Be'er | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 19 | Stade Rennais | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 20 | SK Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Jagiellonia Bialystok | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 23 | Lillestrom | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 24 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 25 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 | Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 | Levski Sofia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 28 | Celtic | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 | AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 30 | NK Celje | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Earlier meetings
Pacy's record of this fixture holds no meeting from the last three years, so recent games may be missing.
Benfica 3 wins, Celtic 1 win, 1 draw
| Date | Result | Hosted by |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-11-20 | Benfica 2–1 Celtic | Benfica |
| 2012-09-19 | Benfica 0–0 Celtic | Celtic |
| 2007-11-06 | Benfica 0–1 Celtic | Celtic |
| 2007-10-24 | Benfica 1–0 Celtic | Benfica |
| 2006-11-01 | Benfica 3–0 Celtic | Benfica |
Venue and officials
- Venue
- Estádio da Luz, Lisbon, Portugal
Pacy probability
- Away13.7%
- Draw19.6%
- Home66.7%
Pacy estimates this from the match information available and how both sides have performed. It is an estimate, not a prediction of what will happen.