Atletico Mineiro vs SantosBrazilian Serie A
Atletico Mineiro21
Full time
SantosPacy pre-match win probability
43.0% Atletico Mineiro27.6% Draw29.4% Santos
Last updated
Match report
Atletico Mineiro beat Santos 2–1 in the Brazilian Serie A at Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Brazil on October 11, 2026. The goals came from Gabriel Barbosa (88'), Vitor Hugo (90'+1'), Thiago Borbas (90'+7'). At half time it was level at 0–0. Atletico Mineiro won by a single goal. Recent form: Atletico Mineiro won three and drew two of their last five; Santos won three, drew one and lost one of their last five. Pacy's record holds 5 earlier meetings: Atletico Mineiro won 1, Santos won 3 and 1 was a draw. Before kick-off, Pacy's model made Atletico Mineiro favourites at 43.0%, and they won. Its most likely score, 2-1, was exactly right.
Timeline
- Kickoff
- 8'Start Delay — Santos
- 8'Start Delay — Atlético-MG
- 8'End Delay — Santos
- 8'End Delay — Atlético-MG
- 8'Substitution — Luan Peres (Santos)
- 31'Start Delay — Atlético-MG
- 31'Start Delay — Santos
- 32'End Delay — Atlético-MG
- 32'End Delay — Santos
- 45'+2'Yellow Card — Alan Franco (Atlético-MG)
- 45'+4'Yellow Card — Lucas Verissimo (Santos)
- 45'+5'Halftime
- 45'Substitution — Alan Minda (Atlético-MG)
- 45'Substitution — Rony (Santos)
- 45'Start 2nd Half
- 66'Yellow Card — Thiago Borbas (Atlético-MG)
- 66'Yellow Card — Luan Peres (Santos)
- 69'Substitution — Mamady Cissé (Atlético-MG)
- 69'Substitution — Maycon (Atlético-MG)
- 70'Substitution — Ángelo Preciado (Atlético-MG)
- 70'Yellow Card — Igor Gomes (Atlético-MG)
- 72'Substitution — João Schmidt (Santos)
- 72'Substitution — Philippe Coutinho (Santos)
- 75'Start Delay — Atlético-MG
- 75'Start Delay — Santos
- 77'End Delay — Atlético-MG
- 77'End Delay — Santos
- 82'Substitution — Dudu (Atlético-MG)
- 85'Yellow Card — João Schmidt (Santos)
- 85'Substitution — Álvaro Barreal (Santos)
- 88'Goal — Gabriel Barbosa (Santos)
- 89'Yellow Card — Gabriel Barbosa (Santos)
- 89'Yellow Card — Willian Arão (Santos)
- 90'+1'Goal - Volley — Vitor Hugo (Atlético-MG)
- 90'+7'Goal - Volley — Thiago Borbas (Atlético-MG)
- 90'+14'End Regular Time
Match statistics
All statistics (14 more)
Lineups
Atlético-MG
- GGabriel Delfim
- CD-LVitor Hugo
- CD-RLéo Duarte
- LBKauã Pascini
- RBNatanael
- CMAlan Franco
- LMAlexsander
- RMKevin Castaño
- FThiago Borbas
- LFIgor Gomes
- RFVictor Hugo
Bench (12)
- SUBMaycon
- SUBDudu
- SUBReiner
- SUBVitão
- SUBCauã Soares
- SUBRenan Lodi
- SUBLyanco
- SUBAlan Minda
- SUBÁngelo Preciado
- SUBMamady Cissé
- SUBRobert
- SUBPedro Tocantins
Santos
- GDiogenes
- CD-LWillian Arão
- CD-RLucas Verissimo
- LBGonzalo Escobar
- RBRodinei
- AMBenjamín Rollheiser
- LMChristian Oliva
- RMGustavo Henrique
- FGabriel Barbosa
- AM-LEverton
- AM-RGabriel Bontempo
Bench (12)
- SUBLuan Peres
- SUBIgor
- SUBJoão Paulo
- SUBSamuel Mendes
- SUBMiguel Terceros
- SUBÁlvaro Barreal
- SUBRony
- SUBJoão Schmidt
- SUBGustavo Caballero
- SUBLima
- SUBPhilippe Coutinho
- SUBThaciano
Recent form
Atletico Mineiro
DWDWW
Santos
DWWLW
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Athletico Paranaense | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | +11 | 50 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +4 | 48 |
| 6 | Atlético-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 47 |
| 7 | Bahia | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 46 |
| 8 | Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 42 |
| 9 | São Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -10 | 38 |
Head-to-head
Atletico Mineiro 1 win, Santos 3 wins, 1 draw
| Date | Result | Hosted by |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Atletico Mineiro 4–2 Santos | Atletico Mineiro |
| 2026-09-09 | Atletico Mineiro 0–2 Santos | Santos |
| 2026-04-11 | Atletico Mineiro 0–1 Santos | Santos |
| 2025-09-14 | Atletico Mineiro 1–1 Santos | Atletico Mineiro |
| 2025-04-17 | Atletico Mineiro 0–2 Santos | Santos |
Venue and officials
- Venue
- Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Brazil
Pacy probability
- Away29.4%
- Draw27.6%
- Home43.0%
Pacy estimates this from the match information available and how both sides have performed. It is an estimate, not a prediction of what will happen.