Arsenal vs Leeds UnitedEnglish Premier League
Arsenal21
Full time
Leeds UnitedPacy pre-match win probability
53.9% Arsenal25.4% Draw20.7% Leeds United
Last updated
Match report
Arsenal beat Leeds United 2–1 in the English Premier League at Emirates Stadium, London, England on October 10, 2026. The goals came from James Justin (55'), Riccardo Calafiori (62'), Bruno Guimarães (70'). Leeds United went ahead through James Justin in the 55th minute. Arsenal came from behind to win. Arsenal had 58.2% of the ball and 13 shots (6 on target), against 11 (5 on target) for Leeds United. In the English Premier League table, Arsenal sit 2nd and Leeds United 6th. Pacy's record holds 6 earlier meetings: Arsenal won 6, Leeds United won 0. Before kick-off, Pacy's model made Arsenal favourites at 53.9%, and they won. Its most likely score, 2-1, was exactly right.
Timeline
- Kickoff
- 29'Start Delay — Leeds United
- 29'Start Delay — Arsenal
- 32'End Delay — Leeds United
- 32'End Delay — Arsenal
- 36'Yellow Card — Ao Tanaka (Leeds United)
- 38'Yellow Card — Ethan Ampadu (Leeds United)
- 45'+3'Halftime
- 45'Start 2nd Half
- 55'Goal — James Justin (Leeds United)
- 59'Yellow Card — Tarik Muharemovic (Leeds United)
- 62'Goal — Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)
- 63'Substitution — Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)
- 63'Substitution — Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)
- 63'Substitution — Bruno Guimarães (Arsenal)
- 70'Goal — Bruno Guimarães (Arsenal)
- 71'Substitution — Harry Wilson (Leeds United)
- 71'Substitution — Brenden Aaronson (Leeds United)
- 78'Yellow Card — James Justin (Leeds United)
- 79'Substitution — Lukas Nmecha (Leeds United)
- 82'Substitution — Piero Hincapié (Arsenal)
- 84'Yellow Card — Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)
- 86'Substitution — Jean-Mattéo Bahoya (Leeds United)
- 86'Substitution — Jaka Bijol (Leeds United)
- 90'Substitution — Mikel Merino (Arsenal)
- 90'+6'End Regular Time
Match statistics
All statistics (14 more)
Lineups
Arsenal
- GDavid Raya
- CD-LGabriel Magalhães
- CD-REzri Konsa
- LBRiccardo Calafiori
- RBBen White
- AMMartin Ødegaard
- LMMyles Lewis-Skelly
- RMDeclan Rice
- FKai Havertz
- AM-LNoni Madueke
- AM-RBukayo Saka
Bench (9)
- SUBBruno Guimarães
- SUBMikel Merino
- SUBMax Dowman
- SUBMartín Zubimendi
- SUBViktor Gyökeres
- SUBEberechi Eze
- SUBJurriën Timber
- SUBKepa Arrizabalaga
- SUBPiero Hincapié
Leeds United
- GJames Trafford
- CDNico Elvedi
- CD-LTarik Muharemovic
- CD-RJames Justin
- CM-LAo Tanaka
- CM-REthan Ampadu
- LMGabriel Gudmundsson
- RMJayden Bogle
- FDominic Calvert-Lewin
- CF-LNoah Okafor
- CF-RAnton Stach
Bench (9)
- SUBJean-Mattéo Bahoya
- SUBLukas Nmecha
- SUBSean Longstaff
- SUBMichael Zetterer
- SUBMelvin Bard
- SUBHarry Wilson
- SUBJaka Bijol
- SUBBrenden Aaronson
- SUBIlia Gruev
Recent form
Arsenal
LWWWW
Leeds United
DWLDD
Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 15 |
| 3 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 13 |
| 4 | Brentford | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 | Leeds United | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
Head-to-head
Arsenal 6 wins, Leeds United 0 wins
| Date | Result | Hosted by |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Arsenal 4–0 Leeds United | Leeds United |
| 2025-08-23 | Arsenal 5–0 Leeds United | Arsenal |
| 2023-04-01 | Arsenal 4–1 Leeds United | Arsenal |
| 2022-10-16 | Arsenal 1–0 Leeds United | Leeds United |
| 2022-05-08 | Arsenal 2–1 Leeds United | Arsenal |
| 2021-12-18 | Arsenal 4–1 Leeds United | Leeds United |
Venue and officials
- Venue
- Emirates Stadium, Hornsey Rd, London N7 7AJ, England
- Attendance
- 60,315
Pacy probability
- Away20.7%
- Draw25.4%
- Home53.9%
Pacy estimates this from the match information available and how both sides have performed. It is an estimate, not a prediction of what will happen.