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Arsenal vs Leeds UnitedEnglish Premier League

Arsenal

21

Full time

Leeds United

ETEmirates Stadium, London, England

Pacy pre-match win probability

53.9% Arsenal25.4% Draw20.7% Leeds United

Last updated

Match report

Arsenal beat Leeds United 2–1 in the English Premier League at Emirates Stadium, London, England on October 10, 2026. The goals came from James Justin (55'), Riccardo Calafiori (62'), Bruno Guimarães (70'). Leeds United went ahead through James Justin in the 55th minute. Arsenal came from behind to win. Arsenal had 58.2% of the ball and 13 shots (6 on target), against 11 (5 on target) for Leeds United. In the English Premier League table, Arsenal sit 2nd and Leeds United 6th. Pacy's record holds 6 earlier meetings: Arsenal won 6, Leeds United won 0. Before kick-off, Pacy's model made Arsenal favourites at 53.9%, and they won. Its most likely score, 2-1, was exactly right.

Timeline

  1. Kickoff
  2. 29'Start Delay — Leeds United
  3. 29'Start Delay — Arsenal
  4. 32'End Delay — Leeds United
  5. 32'End Delay — Arsenal
  6. 36'Yellow Card — Ao Tanaka (Leeds United)
  7. 38'Yellow Card — Ethan Ampadu (Leeds United)
  8. 45'+3'Halftime
  9. 45'Start 2nd Half
  10. 55'Goal — James Justin (Leeds United)
  11. 59'Yellow Card — Tarik Muharemovic (Leeds United)
  12. 62'Goal — Riccardo Calafiori (Arsenal)
  13. 63'Substitution — Jurriën Timber (Arsenal)
  14. 63'Substitution — Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)
  15. 63'Substitution — Bruno Guimarães (Arsenal)
  16. 70'Goal — Bruno Guimarães (Arsenal)
  17. 71'Substitution — Harry Wilson (Leeds United)
  18. 71'Substitution — Brenden Aaronson (Leeds United)
  19. 78'Yellow Card — James Justin (Leeds United)
  20. 79'Substitution — Lukas Nmecha (Leeds United)
  21. 82'Substitution — Piero Hincapié (Arsenal)
  22. 84'Yellow Card — Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)
  23. 86'Substitution — Jean-Mattéo Bahoya (Leeds United)
  24. 86'Substitution — Jaka Bijol (Leeds United)
  25. 90'Substitution — Mikel Merino (Arsenal)
  26. 90'+6'End Regular Time

Match statistics

ArsenalLeeds United

58%Possession42%
13Shots11
6Shots on target5
3Corners4
4Saves4
12Fouls20
1Yellow Cards4
7Offsides4
513Passes354
90%Pass Completion80%
12Tackles10
All statistics (14 more)
50%On Target50%
436Accurate Passes277
7Accurate Crosses6
15Crosses23
50%Cross30%
46Long Balls58
13Accurate Long Balls26
30%Long Balls40%
3Blocked Shots3
8Effective Tackles6
70%Tackle60%
7Interceptions10
25Effective Clearances19
25Clearances19

Lineups

Arsenal

  • GDavid Raya
  • CD-LGabriel Magalhães
  • CD-REzri Konsa
  • LBRiccardo Calafiori
  • RBBen White
  • AMMartin Ødegaard
  • LMMyles Lewis-Skelly
  • RMDeclan Rice
  • FKai Havertz
  • AM-LNoni Madueke
  • AM-RBukayo Saka
Bench (9)
  • SUBBruno Guimarães
  • SUBMikel Merino
  • SUBMax Dowman
  • SUBMartín Zubimendi
  • SUBViktor Gyökeres
  • SUBEberechi Eze
  • SUBJurriën Timber
  • SUBKepa Arrizabalaga
  • SUBPiero Hincapié

Leeds United

  • GJames Trafford
  • CDNico Elvedi
  • CD-LTarik Muharemovic
  • CD-RJames Justin
  • CM-LAo Tanaka
  • CM-REthan Ampadu
  • LMGabriel Gudmundsson
  • RMJayden Bogle
  • FDominic Calvert-Lewin
  • CF-LNoah Okafor
  • CF-RAnton Stach
Bench (9)
  • SUBJean-Mattéo Bahoya
  • SUBLukas Nmecha
  • SUBSean Longstaff
  • SUBMichael Zetterer
  • SUBMelvin Bard
  • SUBHarry Wilson
  • SUBJaka Bijol
  • SUBBrenden Aaronson
  • SUBIlia Gruev

Recent form

Arsenal

LWWWW

Leeds United

DWLDD

Standings

English Premier League Standings
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City5500+815
2Arsenal6501+515
3Brighton & Hove Albion6411+1313
4Brentford6240+610
5Chelsea6312+210
6Leeds United6231+39
7Liverpool5230+39
8Everton5230+39

Head-to-head

Arsenal 6 wins, Leeds United 0 wins

DateResultHosted by
2026-01-31Arsenal 4–0 Leeds UnitedLeeds United
2025-08-23Arsenal 5–0 Leeds UnitedArsenal
2023-04-01Arsenal 4–1 Leeds UnitedArsenal
2022-10-16Arsenal 1–0 Leeds UnitedLeeds United
2022-05-08Arsenal 2–1 Leeds UnitedArsenal
2021-12-18Arsenal 4–1 Leeds UnitedLeeds United

Venue and officials

Venue
Emirates Stadium, Hornsey Rd, London N7 7AJ, England
Attendance
60,315

Pacy probability

  • Away20.7%
  • Draw25.4%
  • Home53.9%

Pacy estimates this from the match information available and how both sides have performed. It is an estimate, not a prediction of what will happen.

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