Pacy
Back

Miami Heat vs Minnesota TimberwolvesNational Basketball Association

Miami Heat

124125

Full time

Minnesota Timberwolves

ETKaseya Center, Miami

Pacy pre-match win probability

53.8% Miami Heat46.2% Minnesota Timberwolves

Last updated

Match report

Miami Heat lost to Minnesota Timberwolves 124–125 in the National Basketball Association at Kaseya Center, Miami on October 10, 2026. At half time Minnesota Timberwolves led 60–56. By quarter, Miami Heat scored 23, 33, 28 and 40; Minnesota Timberwolves 24, 36, 31 and 34. Pacy's record holds 10 earlier meetings: Miami Heat won 2, Minnesota Timberwolves won 8. Before kick-off, Pacy's model made Miami Heat favourites at 53.8%; Minnesota Timberwolves won against those odds.

Timeline

  1. 2.3Driving Floating Jump Shot — Minnesota Timberwolves 124–125
  2. 14.8Free Throw - 1 of 1 — Miami Heat 124–123
  3. 14.8Layup Shot Putback — Miami Heat 123–123
  4. 38.5Layup Shot — Minnesota Timberwolves 121–123
  5. 47.8Turnaround Fade Away Jump Shot — Miami Heat 121–121
  6. 1:08Pullup Jump Shot — Miami Heat 119–121
  7. 1:18Free Throw - 2 of 2 — Minnesota Timberwolves 116–121
  8. 1:18Free Throw - 1 of 2 — Minnesota Timberwolves 116–120
  9. 2:20Jump Shot — Miami Heat 116–119
  10. 2:39Free Throw - 2 of 2 — Minnesota Timberwolves 113–119
  11. 2:39Free Throw - 1 of 2 — Minnesota Timberwolves 113–118
  12. 2:51Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot — Minnesota Timberwolves 113–117
  13. 3:06Jump Shot — Miami Heat 113–115
  14. 3:26Pullup Jump Shot — Minnesota Timberwolves 110–115
  15. 3:57Free Throw - 2 of 2 — Miami Heat 110–112
  16. 3:57Free Throw - 1 of 2 — Miami Heat 109–112
  17. 4:09Driving Floating Jump Shot — Minnesota Timberwolves 108–112
  18. 4:20Layup Shot — Miami Heat 108–110
  19. 4:34Driving Finger Roll Layup — Minnesota Timberwolves 106–110
  20. 5:14Running Jump Shot — Minnesota Timberwolves 106–108
  21. 5:49Driving Floating Jump Shot — Minnesota Timberwolves 106–105
  22. 6:10Jump Shot — Minnesota Timberwolves 106–103
  23. 6:22Free Throw - 2 of 2 — Miami Heat 106–100
  24. 6:22Free Throw - 1 of 2 — Miami Heat 105–100
  25. 6:32Free Throw - Clear Path 1 of 2 — Miami Heat 104–100
  26. 6:43Jump Shot — Miami Heat 103–100
  27. 7:08Jump Shot — Minnesota Timberwolves 100–100
  28. 7:43Free Throw - 2 of 2 — Minnesota Timberwolves 100–97
  29. 7:43Free Throw - 1 of 2 — Minnesota Timberwolves 100–96
  30. 7:50Cutting Layup Shot — Miami Heat 100–95
  31. 8:28Free Throw - 2 of 2 — Miami Heat 96–95
  32. 8:49Driving Layup Shot — Minnesota Timberwolves 94–95
  33. 9:00Tip Shot — Miami Heat 94–93
  34. 9:41Free Throw - 3 of 3 — Miami Heat 92–93
  35. 9:41Free Throw - 2 of 3 — Miami Heat 91–93
  36. 9:41Free Throw - 1 of 3 — Miami Heat 90–93
  37. 9:53Free Throw - 2 of 2 — Minnesota Timberwolves 89–93
  38. 9:53Free Throw - 1 of 2 — Minnesota Timberwolves 89–92
  39. 10:11Alley Oop Dunk Shot — Miami Heat 89–91
  40. 10:28Running Layup Shot — Miami Heat 87–91

Match statistics

Miami HeatMinnesota Timberwolves

22Fouls25
45Rebounds46
27Assists26
46%Field Goal47%
47%Three Point41%
14Turnovers13
All statistics (15 more)
43-94Fg41-87
16-343pt14-34
22-27Ft29-33
81%Free Throw88%
12Offensive Rebounds11
33Defensive Rebounds35
9Steals10
2Blocks7
14Total Turnovers13
23Points Conceded Off Turnovers20
14Fast Break Points23
54Points in Paint46
6Largest Lead14
19Lead Changes19
18Percent Led78

Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Trey Lyles
  • Joan Beringer
  • Jaylen Clark
  • Terrence Shannon Jr.
  • Bones Hyland
Bench (11)
  • Drew Timme
  • KJ Martin
  • Enrique Freeman
  • Norchad Omier
  • Cody Williams
  • Isaiah Evans
  • Rocco Zikarsky
  • Antonio Reeves
  • Zyon Pullin
  • Jonathan Kuminga
  • Donte DiVincenzo

Miami Heat

  • Simone Fontecchio
  • Nikola Jovic
  • Nick Richards
  • Pelle Larsson
  • Tre Donaldson
Bench (11)
  • Myron Gardner
  • Ian Schieffelin
  • Vladislav Goldin
  • Bez Mbeng
  • Ryan Conwell
  • Bobby Portis
  • Keshad Johnson
  • Kylor Kelley
  • Bam Adebayo
  • Dru Smith
  • Gabe Madsen

Standings

2026-27 Northwest Standings
#TeamWLPCTGB
1Portland101.000-
2Minnesota21.667-
3Utah11.5000.5
4Denver11.5000.5
2026-27 Southeast Standings
#TeamWLPCTGB
1Washington201.000-
2Orlando101.0000.5
3Miami21.6670.5
4Atlanta21.6670.5
5Charlotte01.0001.5

Head-to-head

Miami Heat 2 wins, Minnesota Timberwolves 8 wins

DateResultHosted by
2026-01-07Miami Heat 94–122 Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves
2026-01-03Miami Heat 115–125 Minnesota TimberwolvesMiami Heat
2025-03-08Miami Heat 104–106 Minnesota TimberwolvesMiami Heat
2024-11-11Miami Heat 95–94 Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves
2023-12-19Miami Heat 108–112 Minnesota TimberwolvesMiami Heat
2023-10-29Miami Heat 90–106 Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves
2022-12-27Miami Heat 113–110 Minnesota TimberwolvesMiami Heat
2022-11-22Miami Heat 101–105 Minnesota TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves
2022-10-04Miami Heat 111–121 Minnesota TimberwolvesMiami Heat
2022-03-13Miami Heat 104–113 Minnesota TimberwolvesMiami Heat

Venue and officials

Venue
Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
Attendance
19,600
Referee
Zach Zarba
Referee
Sean Corbin
Referee
Jenna Schroeder

Pacy probability

  • Away46.2%
  • Home53.8%

Pacy estimates this from the match information available and how both sides have performed. It is an estimate, not a prediction of what will happen.

Live now

All matches